Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by less than 10%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$11.5K
48 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 29 traders
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory
6 MARKETS · $78.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs10 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+13 new YES$114+12 new NO$10.3K
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $10.2K is directional: YES $124·NO $10.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$124
Avg Win Rate
72.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$117(-94.0%)
Whales
4
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 17¢·700 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
$-110
$-110INV $117 · WR 71.8%
B
Bigggggggg🥈
Entry 17¢·42 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 85.9%
1
0x16c7337106A0B3a06fF863A1c06D8e2cbf7322cd-1778811943243🥉hedged
Entry 4¢·10.2 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 57.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 17¢·2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 87.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$10.3K
Avg Win Rate
65.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$189(+1.9%)
Whales
10
F
fkcvffcjt🥇
Entry 99¢·10,057.8 shares
Invested
$10.0K
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $10.0K · WR 65.3%
S
suhail-frenz-account187🥈
Entry 50¢·180 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$90
+$90INV $90 · WR 85.8%
H
HolyMoses7🥉
Entry 100¢·50 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
77.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $50 · WR 77.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·92 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $46 · WR 89.3%
V
vamnizar
Entry 96¢·44 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $42 · WR 57.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·77.8 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $39 · WR 79.5%
1
0x16c7337106A0B3a06fF863A1c06D8e2cbf7322cd-1778811943243hedged
Entry 100¢·10.2 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$10
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 57.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 88.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 65.4%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 50¢·4.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $2 · WR 79.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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