Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by 20-25%?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$2.4K
85 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 46 traders
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory
6 MARKETS · $78.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs13 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 51%· net of hedges
+16 new YES$893+19 new NO$930
$33 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $759 is directional: YES $758·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$768
Avg Win Rate
65.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$659(-85.8%)
Whales
6
F
fkcvffcjt🥇
Entry 45¢·1,111 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
$-445
$-445INV $500 · WR 65.3%
R
Railcool🥈
Entry 38¢·367 shares
Invested
$139
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-121
$-121INV $139 · WR 59.8%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 17¢·700 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
$-82
$-82INV $117 · WR 71.8%
D
0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493
Entry 40¢·20.4 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $8 · WR 57.6%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 17¢·13.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 85.9%
4
0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343hedged
Entry 40¢·4.6 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 57.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$322
Avg Win Rate
86.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$239(+74.1%)
Whales
13
G
graynotebook19🥇
Entry 61¢·206 shares
Invested
$126
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $126 · WR 89.5%
S
suhail-frenz-account187🥈
Entry 50¢·180 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$83
+$83INV $90 · WR 85.8%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $40 · WR 88.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 74¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $15 · WR 89.3%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 50¢·27.9 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $14 · WR 79.6%
O
Outlandish-Expansionism
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 79.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 62¢·12 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $7 · WR 87.4%
E
e46m3
Entry 57¢·10 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $6 · WR 79.5%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 65.4%
6
0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354
Entry 60¢·5.2 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 57.5%
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