Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by 15-20%?
YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$2.6K
101 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 59 traders
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory
6 MARKETS · $78.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs15 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 10% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 71%· net of hedges
+20 new YES$629+26 new NO$1.5K
$32 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales14 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.2K is directional: YES $117·NO $1.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$128
Avg Win Rate
71.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$114(-88.5%)
Whales
5
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 17¢·700 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
$-104
$-104INV $117 · WR 71.8%
1
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702🥈
Entry 25¢·20.4 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 57.3%
A
Ajar-Safety🥉hedged
Entry 32¢·12.8 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 73.9%
6
0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354
Entry 50¢·4.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 57.5%
N
northdrawer
Entry 17¢·2.1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 87.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
66.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$500(+39.2%)
Whales
15
F
fkcvffcjt🥇
Entry 66¢·1,126.2 shares
Invested
$742
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
+$364
+$364INV $742 · WR 65.3%
M
mantou11🥈
Entry 97¢·296.5 shares
Invested
$288
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $288 · WR 57.5%
S
suhail-frenz-account187🥉
Entry 61¢·90 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $55 · WR 85.8%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 53¢·80 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $42 · WR 88.2%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 74¢·56.4 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $42 · WR 79.6%
3
0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579
Entry 95¢·20.4 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $19 · WR 57.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 96¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $19 · WR 89.3%
H
HolyMoses7
Entry 97¢·15 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
77.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $15 · WR 77.2%
D
DerDon
Entry 49¢·20.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 56.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 81¢·12.4 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $10 · WR 79.5%
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