Geopolitics26 days left
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$1.6K
21 trades
Smart Whales
3
of 14 traders
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?
6 MARKETS · $44.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs3 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$43+8 new NO$1.4K
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $44 is directional: YES $0·NO $44YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$513
Avg Win Rate
75.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$10(+1.9%)
Whales
3
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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