Geopolitics26 days left
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?
YES Price
11¢
11% implied
NO Price
89¢
89% implied
Volume
$1.9K
67 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 33 traders
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?
6 MARKETS · $65.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs3 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$126+5 new NO$954
$2 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $874 is directional: YES $6·NO $868YES Team
Total Invested
$6
Avg Win Rate
66.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-28.4%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$868
Avg Win Rate
73.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$5(-0.6%)
Whales
3
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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