Geopolitics26 days left
Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?
YES Price
65Ā¢
65% implied
NO Price
35Ā¢
35% implied
Volume
$12.3K
106 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 45 traders
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?
5 MARKETS Ā· $20.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs2 NO
78%22%
78% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars Ā· 7 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 88%Ā· net of hedges
+7 new YES$152+3 new NO$34
$31 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers ā left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides ā all $367 is directional: YES $366Ā·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$366
Avg Win Rate
69.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$55(-15.0%)
Whales
7
S
SpyVsSpyš„
Entry 82Ā¢Ā·182.9 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $150 Ā· WR 64.0%
Q
Quantum777š„
Entry 82Ā¢Ā·100.2 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $82 Ā· WR 87.5%
G
Glistening-Namingš„
Entry 63Ā¢Ā·100 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $63 Ā· WR 59.2%
W
wendywu1
Entry 68Ā¢Ā·40.6 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $28 Ā· WR 56.6%
V
Vibrant-Dragonfly
Entry 61Ā¢Ā·28 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $17 Ā· WR 80.0%
B
btfrs
Entry 76Ā¢Ā·19.7 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $15 Ā· WR 77.7%
2
0x26ccbbb5...
Entry 76Ā¢Ā·15.2 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $12 Ā· WR 58.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$8
Avg Win Rate
77.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-15.7%)
Whales
2
Smart Whale Trades
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