Mabu1501 · Polymarket wallet 0x64ed…b45b

Wallet snapshot

Mabu1501 has made 37 trades on Polymarket across 23 markets, $130 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (35%) and politics (22%). On 16 resolved markets the win rate is 81.3%. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?". Last trade: Sep 22, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No · $11 · 90¢ → 97¢
• OPEC dissolves in 2026?No · $5 · 96¢ → 99¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $5 · 66¢ → 64¢
• Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Yes · $3 · 42¢ → 62¢
• Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?No · $2 · 96¢ → 95¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $2 · 72¢ → 70¢
• Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by June 30, 2027?Yes · $1 · 14¢ → 18¢

Latest closed positions

• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · +$6 · Sep 22, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETYes · +$3 · Sep 20, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETNo · +$1 · Sep 20, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No · +$1 · Sep 20, 2026
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No · +$1 · Sep 20, 2026
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?No · +$2 · Sep 20, 2026
• US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.