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Geopolitics26 days left

Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
80¢
80% implied
Volume
$1.5K
75 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 39 traders

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?

5 MARKETS · $20.0K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

7 YESvs5 NO
58%42%
58% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 34% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%· net of hedges
+16 new YES$160+13 new NO$561
$67 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $274 is directional: YES $92·NO $182
YES Team
Total Invested
$93
Avg Win Rate
62.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$29(-31.4%)
Whales
7
S
SpyVsSpy🥇
Entry 44¢·114.3 shares
$-27INV $50 · WR 64.0%
G
Glistening-Naming🥈
Entry 21¢·161.9 shares
$-1INV $34 · WR 59.1%
S
ssecondooption🥉
Entry 20¢·22.1 shares
—INV $4 · WR 59.8%
R
romanew-1-new
Entry 19¢·11.1 shares
+$0INV $2 · WR 65.9%
V
vozomnil
Entry 33¢·5.9 shares
$-1INV $2 · WR 76.3%
S
Selliihedged
Entry 20¢·1.1 shares·also $0 on NO
—INV $0 · WR 80.1%
G
GollumGekko
Entry 12¢·1.1 shares
+$0INV $0 · WR 77.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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