Geopolitics26 days left
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?
YES Price
12¢
12% implied
NO Price
88¢
88% implied
Volume
$2.7K
145 trades
Smart Whales
4
of 53 traders
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?
6 MARKETS · $68.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs4 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+26 new YES$284+25 new NO$1.6K
$335 of this was bought on both sides by the same 16 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $63 is directional: YES $0·NO $63YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$66
Avg Win Rate
69.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$24(+36.9%)
Whales
4
J
jollyblue🥇
Entry 75¢·60 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
73.3%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $45 · WR 73.3%
M
ms1910🥈
Entry 85¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $17 · WR 59.7%
H
higheor🥉
Entry 14¢·20 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $3 · WR 72.7%
M
maomao228
Entry 78¢·1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
64.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 64.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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