Bernardo · Polymarket wallet 0x1e98…6c6d

Wallet snapshot

Bernardo has made 811 trades on Polymarket across 282 markets, $56K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (46%) and politics (20%). On 263 resolved markets the win rate is 77.2%. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?No · $99 · 99¢ → 99¢
• Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?No · $97 · 93¢ → 97¢
• US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No · $25 · 69¢ → 83¢
• Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No · $10 · 88¢ → 96¢
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No · $9 · 45¢ → 89¢
• Discord IPO before 2027?No · $5 · 74¢ → 93¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?No · -$36 · Oct 11, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No · +$2 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?No · +$2 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$4 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$8 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.