YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$821
86 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 37 traders
What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?
5 MARKETS · $30.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above
59¢−47¢$13.0K2/15Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above−47¢59¢
$13.0K2/15
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0
4¢+9¢$1.9K2/13Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0+9¢4¢
$1.9K2/13
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25
9¢+6¢$2.3K3/17Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25+6¢9¢
$2.3K3/17
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs8 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $61 is directional: YES $61·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$64
Avg Win Rate
82.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$64(-99.8%)
Whales
10
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 20¢·116.2 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
84.2%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $23 · WR 84.2%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 20¢·65 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $13 · WR 79.5%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 20¢·60 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $12 · WR 79.5%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 20¢·31.3 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 88.2%
C
Corny-Hyphenationhedged
Entry 51¢·6.9 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 67.1%
P
plainfolder
Entry 20¢·10 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 85.6%
D
donthackme
Entry 20¢·8.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 87.7%
C
0xc29ecedb...
Entry 20¢·7.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 87.7%
B
beatrix99
Entry 20¢·5.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 85.7%
P
PollyForge
Entry 0¢·9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
—
—INV $0 · WR 84.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$335
Avg Win Rate
86.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$340(+101.5%)
Whales
8
M
midturn🥇
Entry 50¢·160 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$80
+$80INV $80 · WR 85.8%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 50¢·156 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $78 · WR 88.8%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 50¢·116 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $58 · WR 87.4%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 50¢·115.6 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $58 · WR 79.5%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $50 · WR 89.5%
D
0xd7e3da53...
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
70.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 70.7%
Z
zua
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 85.1%
C
Corny-Hyphenationhedged
Entry 12¢·6.9 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $1 · WR 67.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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