YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$1.7K
120 trades
Smart Whales
24
of 53 traders
What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?
5 MARKETS · $122.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above
69¢−42¢$53.7K12/33Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above−42¢69¢
$53.7K12/33
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0
0¢+15¢$5.5K4/23Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0+15¢0¢
$5.5K4/23
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25
2¢+12¢$6.9K5/30Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25+12¢2¢
$6.9K5/30
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs15 NO
38%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $130 is directional: YES $130·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$134
Avg Win Rate
86.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$133(-99.8%)
Whales
9
F
fourcoin15m🥇
Entry 20¢·139.2 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $28 · WR 84.3%
A
akroll🥈
Entry 20¢·134.3 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $27 · WR 86.9%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 20¢·111.3 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $22 · WR 88.0%
K
klli27
Entry 20¢·92.3 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $18 · WR 86.9%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 20¢·77 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $15 · WR 88.1%
K
kaxel78
Entry 20¢·50 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 86.9%
V
Vale54holi
Entry 20¢·45.8 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 86.0%
C
Corny-Hyphenationhedged
Entry 51¢·6.9 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 68.3%
P
PollyForge
Entry 0¢·9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
—
—INV $0 · WR 84.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$406
Avg Win Rate
82.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$475(+117.2%)
Whales
15
G
glm4.1.fund🥇
Entry 36¢·224.6 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$144
+$144INV $80 · WR 85.9%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 50¢·156 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $78 · WR 88.7%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 50¢·127.9 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $64 · WR 79.4%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·116 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $58 · WR 87.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $50 · WR 89.2%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $20 · WR 86.4%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 50¢·18.4 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $9 · WR 59.9%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 50¢·18.4 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $9 · WR 59.8%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 50¢·18.1 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $9 · WR 59.4%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $9 · WR 59.7%
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