203 days left
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25?
YES Price
9¢
9% implied
NO Price
91¢
91% implied
Volume
$2.3K
141 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 55 traders
What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?
5 MARKETS · $30.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above
59¢−47¢$13.0K2/15Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above−47¢59¢
$13.0K2/15
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0
4¢+9¢$1.9K2/13Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0+9¢4¢
$1.9K2/13
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25←
9¢+6¢$2.3K3/17Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25←+6¢9¢
$2.3K3/17
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs16 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 86% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%
+2 new YES$3+2 new NO$37
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $137 is directional: YES $118·NO $19YES Team
Total Invested
$118
Avg Win Rate
62.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$64(-53.9%)
Whales
4
S
Started-with-20-USD🥇
Entry 24¢·391.7 shares
Invested
$93
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
$-70
$-70INV $93 · WR 59.1%
C
Corny-Hyphenation🥈
Entry 4¢·361.8 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $13 · WR 67.1%
H
Hot-SkullHomelessBegger🥉
Entry 7¢·167.9 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $11 · WR 84.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 20¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 87.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$673
Avg Win Rate
83.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$277(+41.1%)
Whales
16
N
northdrawer🥇
Entry 82¢·156 shares
Invested
$128
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $128 · WR 87.4%
J
JustClickeverywhere🥈
Entry 81¢·145.5 shares
Invested
$118
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $118 · WR 79.5%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 50¢·176 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$73
+$73INV $88 · WR 85.0%
M
midturn
Entry 49¢·159.9 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$67
+$67INV $79 · WR 85.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 54¢·115.6 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $62 · WR 79.5%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 92¢·60 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $55 · WR 79.5%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 95¢·50 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $48 · WR 89.5%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $20 · WR 85.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $20 · WR 89.3%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 66¢·30 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $20 · WR 88.2%
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