158 days left
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$6.9K
313 trades
Smart Whales
35
of 92 traders
What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?
5 MARKETS · $122.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above
69¢−42¢$53.7K12/33Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above−42¢69¢
$53.7K12/33
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0
0¢+15¢$5.5K4/23Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0+15¢0¢
$5.5K4/23
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25←
2¢+12¢$6.9K5/30Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25←+12¢2¢
$6.9K5/30
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs30 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%
+3 new YES$0+0 new NO$0
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $157 is directional: YES $156·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$156
Avg Win Rate
63.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$84(-53.9%)
Whales
5
S
Started-with-20-USD◆Proven🥇
Entry 23¢·391.7 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-86
$-86INV $91 · WR 58.7%
C
Corny-Hyphenation🥈
Entry 2¢·2,492.8 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $47 · WR 68.3%
H
Hot-SkullHomelessBegger🥉
Entry 7¢·167.9 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $11 · WR 81.8%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 4¢·150 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $6 · WR 66.6%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 20¢·1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 59.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.5K
Avg Win Rate
82.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.2K(+47.6%)
Whales
30
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 60¢·1,349.5 shares
Invested
$814
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$511
+$511INV $814 · WR 79.4%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 100¢·246.9 shares
Invested
$246
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $246 · WR 87.6%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 59¢·389.9 shares
Invested
$229
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$153
+$153INV $229 · WR 72.0%
G
glm4.1.fund
Entry 51¢·297.3 shares
Invested
$152
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$140
+$140INV $152 · WR 85.9%
A
akroll
Entry 100¢·134.3 shares
Invested
$134
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $134 · WR 86.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 82¢·156 shares
Invested
$128
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $128 · WR 87.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·256 shares
Invested
$128
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$123
+$123INV $128 · WR 85.8%
K
klli27
Entry 100¢·92.3 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $92 · WR 86.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 97¢·83 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $81 · WR 88.9%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 100¢·77 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $77 · WR 88.1%
Showing top 10 of 30
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1144ms