158 days left
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$5.5K
258 trades
Smart Whales
27
of 68 traders
What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?
5 MARKETS · $122.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above
69¢−42¢$53.7K12/33Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above−42¢69¢
$53.7K12/33
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0←
0¢+15¢$5.5K4/23Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0←+15¢0¢
$5.5K4/23
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25
2¢+12¢$6.9K5/30Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25+12¢2¢
$6.9K5/30
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs24 NO
11%89%
89% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%
+3 new YES$2+0 new NO$0
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $16 is directional: YES $16·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$16
Avg Win Rate
71.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$6(-36.8%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$861
Avg Win Rate
85.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.3K(+145.2%)
Whales
24
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 50¢·255.3 shares
Invested
$128
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$127
+$127INV $128 · WR 79.4%
G
god83743894🥈
Entry 50¢·242 shares
Invested
$121
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$120
+$120INV $121 · WR 85.8%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 100¢·109.5 shares
Invested
$109
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $109 · WR 87.6%
G
glm4.1.fund
Entry 26¢·369.2 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$270
+$270INV $97 · WR 85.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·156 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$77
+$77INV $78 · WR 88.7%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 50¢·150 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $75 · WR 86.4%
P
plainfolder
Entry 55¢·135 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $75 · WR 86.1%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 65¢·77 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $50 · WR 88.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 49¢·76.8 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $38 · WR 88.9%
K
klli27
Entry 27¢·89.3 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
+$65
+$65INV $24 · WR 86.9%
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