203 days left
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$1.9K
125 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 43 traders
What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?
5 MARKETS · $30.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above
59¢−47¢$13.0K2/15Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above−47¢59¢
$13.0K2/15
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0←
4¢+9¢$1.9K2/13Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0←+9¢4¢
$1.9K2/13
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25
9¢+6¢$2.3K3/17Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25+6¢9¢
$2.3K3/17
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs11 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%
+3 new YES$4+0 new NO$0
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $19 is directional: YES $19·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$19
Avg Win Rate
79.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-8.8%)
Whales
5
M
mustbethewater🥇
Entry 20¢·60 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $12 · WR 79.5%
H
Hot-SkullHomelessBegger🥈
Entry 1¢·248.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $4 · WR 84.0%
C
Corny-Hyphenation🥉
Entry 1¢·166.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $1 · WR 67.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 20¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 79.5%
D
donthackme
Entry 20¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 87.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$265
Avg Win Rate
85.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$270(+101.7%)
Whales
11
G
god83743894🥇
Entry 50¢·162 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $81 · WR 85.0%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 50¢·116 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $58 · WR 88.8%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 50¢·76 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $38 · WR 89.3%
M
midturn
Entry 30¢·110 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$73
+$73INV $33 · WR 85.8%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 63¢·28 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $18 · WR 79.5%
P
plainfolder
Entry 95¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 85.6%
P
PollyForge
Entry 99¢·9 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 84.6%
2
0x21efa16a...
Entry 50¢·14.4 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
83.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $7 · WR 83.0%
B
beatrix99
Entry 50¢·10.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 85.7%
D
0xd7e3da53...
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
70.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 70.7%
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