Politics49 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 0%-5%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$363
34 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 21 traders · 1 on both sides
TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $9.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs6 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 64% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+3 new YES$0+8 new NO$129
0 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$6 of $25 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $12·NO $7YES Team
Total Invested
$15
Avg Win Rate
88.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$14(-94.2%)
Whales
4
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 8¢·80 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 88.8%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 8¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 88.2%
S
smallreceipt🥉hedged
Entry 8¢·40 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 89.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 8¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 87.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$127
Avg Win Rate
85.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$192(+151.7%)
Whales
6
G
graynotebook19🥇
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $50 · WR 89.5%
M
mustbethewater🥈
Entry 50¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $25 · WR 79.4%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 50¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $25 · WR 85.0%
G
god83743894
Entry 12¢·100 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$88
+$88INV $12 · WR 85.2%
S
smallreceipthedged
Entry 100¢·10 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
—
—INV $10 · WR 89.2%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 79.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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