Politics49 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 45% or more?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$473
33 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 23 traders
TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $9.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs8 NO
39%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%
+5 new YES$1+8 new NO$123
0 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $9 is directional: YES $9·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$9
Avg Win Rate
72.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-25.3%)
Whales
5
S
Spectrum🥇
Entry 2¢·200 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 60.9%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 8¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 87.5%
S
sweetj🥉
Entry 7¢·20 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 75.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 8¢·5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 79.4%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 8¢·3.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 65.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$153
Avg Win Rate
85.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$295(+192.3%)
Whales
8
P
plainfolder🥇
Entry 50¢·180 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$85
+$85INV $90 · WR 85.7%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 50¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $25 · WR 85.0%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $20 · WR 88.8%
G
god83743894
Entry 18¢·60 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $11 · WR 85.2%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 79.2%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 2¢·40 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $1 · WR 88.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 2¢·40 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $1 · WR 89.5%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 2¢·40 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $1 · WR 89.2%
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