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Politics49 days left

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 20%-25%?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$923
63 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 30 traders

TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory

10 MARKETS · $9.1K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

5 YESvs6 NO
46%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$118+16 new NO$679
$96 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $18 is directional: YES $18·NO $0
YES Team
Total Invested
$18
Avg Win Rate
86.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$19(+104.8%)
Whales
5
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 8¢·80 shares
+$8INV $6 · WR 88.8%
S
smallreceipt🥈
Entry 8¢·40 shares
+$4INV $3 · WR 89.2%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 8¢·40 shares
+$4INV $3 · WR 89.5%
N
northdrawer
Entry 8¢·40 shares
+$4INV $3 · WR 87.5%
S
sweetj
Entry 15¢·20 shares
+$0INV $3 · WR 75.9%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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