Politics49 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 40%-45%?
YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$507
43 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 21 traders
TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $9.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs8 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%
+1 new YES$6+6 new NO$123
0 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $11 is directional: YES $11·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$11
Avg Win Rate
85.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-16.9%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$148
Avg Win Rate
85.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$263(+178.1%)
Whales
8
N
northdrawer🥇
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $40 · WR 87.5%
S
smallreceipt🥈
Entry 24¢·130 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$90
+$90INV $31 · WR 89.2%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 50¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $25 · WR 79.4%
L
Lucerys
Entry 50¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $25 · WR 85.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 17¢·100 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$77
+$77INV $17 · WR 88.2%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 79.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 79.4%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 0¢·10 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $0 · WR 89.5%
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