Politics49 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 35%-40%?
YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$1.9K
81 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 39 traders
TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $9.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs10 NO
9%91%
91% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$110+19 new NO$827
$54 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3 is directional: YES $3·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$3
Avg Win Rate
75.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+28.4%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$320
Avg Win Rate
86.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$262(+81.8%)
Whales
10
S
smallreceipt🥇
Entry 53¢·110 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $58 · WR 89.2%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 32¢·160 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$82
+$82INV $50 · WR 88.8%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $50 · WR 87.5%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $40 · WR 88.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $40 · WR 89.5%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 82¢·45 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $37 · WR 79.4%
L
Lucerys
Entry 71¢·30 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $21 · WR 85.0%
G
god83743894
Entry 16¢·80 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $13 · WR 85.2%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 67¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $7 · WR 79.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 78¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 79.4%
Smart Whale Trades
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