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Politics49 days left

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 30%-35%?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
29¢
29% implied
NO Price
71¢
71% implied
Volume
$958
40 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 24 traders

TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory

10 MARKETS · $9.1K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

7 YESvs4 NO
64%36%
64% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$172+18 new NO$689
$21 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $25 is directional: YES $25·NO $0
YES Team
Total Invested
$25
Avg Win Rate
86.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$46(+183.3%)
Whales
7
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 8¢·80 shares
+$13INV $6 · WR 88.8%
S
sweetj🥈
Entry 18¢·20 shares
+$1INV $4 · WR 75.9%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 8¢·40 shares
+$6INV $3 · WR 88.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 8¢·40 shares
+$6INV $3 · WR 89.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 8¢·40 shares
+$6INV $3 · WR 89.5%
G
god83743894
Entry 8¢·40 shares
+$6INV $3 · WR 85.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 8¢·40 shares
+$6INV $3 · WR 87.5%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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