Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 5%-10%?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$2.9K
163 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 60 traders
SC-04 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $19.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+0 new YES$0+2 new NO$2
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $342 is directional: YES $0·NO $342YES Team
Total Invested
$3
Avg Win Rate
70.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-63.2%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$442
Avg Win Rate
61.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$107(+24.3%)
Whales
10
I
infinitychaser🥇
Entry 78¢·437.7 shares
Invested
$342
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $342 · WR 55.0%
L
luciebot🥈
Entry 75¢·30.5 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $23 · WR 82.0%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 82¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $16 · WR 88.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 66¢·24 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $16 · WR 79.6%
L
Lucerys
Entry 29¢·36 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $11 · WR 88.0%
N
Negative-Bob-Vitro
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $9 · WR 81.3%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 83¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 88.9%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 68¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $7 · WR 86.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 64¢·10 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $6 · WR 66.6%
K
kjfghxd
Entry 90¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 81.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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