Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 15%-20%?
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$2.9K
182 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 57 traders
SC-04 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $19.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs6 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $20 is directional: YES $20·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$20
Avg Win Rate
74.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$11(+55.4%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$56
Avg Win Rate
84.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$40(+71.0%)
Whales
6
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 41¢·38.9 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $16 · WR 88.0%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 68¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $14 · WR 86.2%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 67¢·15 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $10 · WR 88.7%
G
Giant-Upper-Seat
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $9 · WR 81.3%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 66.6%
K
kjfghxd
Entry 56¢·5.2 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 81.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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