Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 30% or more?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$2.1K
118 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 51 traders
SC-04 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $19.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs6 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 83% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $20 is directional: YES $17·NO $4YES Team
Total Invested
$17
Avg Win Rate
74.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+6.1%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$73
Avg Win Rate
83.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$28(+38.9%)
Whales
6
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 80¢·49 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $39 · WR 88.0%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 86.2%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 86.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 66.6%
M
mariacryptoss
Entry 68¢·4 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 64.3%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 79¢·1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 68.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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