Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 25%-30%?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$1.8K
73 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 31 traders
SC-04 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $19.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $28 is directional: YES $28·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$28
Avg Win Rate
74.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$6(-21.6%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$156
Avg Win Rate
82.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$44(+28.0%)
Whales
10
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 97¢·49 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $48 · WR 88.0%
S
Scholarly-Trade🥈
Entry 97¢·27.7 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
74.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $27 · WR 74.3%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 97¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $19 · WR 86.2%
T
Thorny-Parachute-Philanthropy
Entry 50¢·32 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $16 · WR 86.0%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 87.0%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 97¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 66.6%
A
All-Decrease-Harvest
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $9 · WR 81.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·16 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $8 · WR 79.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 86.1%
K
kjfghxd
Entry 97¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 81.2%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 708ms