Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$3.6K
172 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 63 traders
SC-04 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $19.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs8 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+0 new YES$0+2 new NO$28
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $41 is directional: YES $41·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$45
Avg Win Rate
73.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$6(+13.7%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$94
Avg Win Rate
79.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$51(+54.1%)
Whales
8
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 50¢·49 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $25 · WR 88.0%
C
cloverpmq2🥈hedged
Entry 81¢·20.1 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$16
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $16 · WR 55.7%
L
luciebot🥉
Entry 50¢·30.3 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $15 · WR 82.0%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 86.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 89.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·16 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $8 · WR 79.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 88.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 66.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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