Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 10%-15%?
YES Price
67¢
67% implied
NO Price
33¢
33% implied
Volume
$5.0K
260 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 80 traders
SC-04 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $19.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs7 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%
+1 new YES$6+3 new NO$44
YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$100
Avg Win Rate
83.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$44(-44.4%)
Whales
7
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 58¢·49 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $28 · WR 88.0%
L
luciebot🥈
Entry 70¢·30.9 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $22 · WR 82.0%
C
Conscious-Gaffer-Tortoise🥉
Entry 50¢·27.7 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
81.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $14 · WR 81.1%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 63¢·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $13 · WR 86.2%
V
Vacant-Shape
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $9 · WR 78.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 71¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $7 · WR 89.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 71¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $7 · WR 66.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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