Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 10%-15%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$1.9K
67 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 53 traders
NJ-04 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $44.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs7 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 68% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $43 is directional: YES $29·NO $14YES Team
Total Invested
$29
Avg Win Rate
66.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$27(-93.0%)
Whales
7
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 8¢·100.7 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 71.9%
R
RayGuy🥈
Entry 7¢·94 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $7 · WR 57.9%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥉
Entry 3¢·211.9 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $6 · WR 62.1%
A
Analyse24ResultsBefore
Entry 3¢·135.8 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 62.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 8¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 79.6%
S
sweetj
Entry 12¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 72.2%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 7¢·1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 87.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$320
Avg Win Rate
86.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$15(+4.8%)
Whales
7
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 100¢·225.5 shares
Invested
$225
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
—
—INV $225 · WR 87.4%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 97¢·31.4 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $31 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 64¢·40 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $26 · WR 87.6%
M
Malganis
Entry 99¢·13.8 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $14 · WR 73.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 86.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 88.6%
I
itset5544
Entry 100¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 71.4%
Smart Whale Trades
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