Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$13.3K
406 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 126 traders
NJ-04 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $44.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs13 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $84 is directional: YES $84·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$211
Avg Win Rate
61.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$209(-98.9%)
Whales
7
A
Analyse24ResultsBefore🥇
Entry 72¢·177.9 shares
Invested
$127
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-127
$-127INV $127 · WR 62.2%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥈
Entry 21¢·207.8 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $43 · WR 62.1%
T
thanksforplayin🥉
Entry 31¢·80.6 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 55.9%
R
RayGuy
Entry 7¢·94 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $7 · WR 57.9%
C
cloverpmq2
Entry 30¢·20.7 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 55.9%
S
sweetj
Entry 31¢·10 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 72.2%
R
romanew-crypto
Entry 11¢·0.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 66.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$431
Avg Win Rate
80.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$168(+38.9%)
Whales
13
M
melchior1248🥇
Entry 73¢·190 shares
Invested
$139
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $139 · WR 70.0%
S
smallreceipt🥈
Entry 73¢·135 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $99 · WR 88.6%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 73¢·89.8 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $66 · WR 87.4%
L
Lucerys
Entry 76¢·40 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $30 · WR 87.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 77¢·31.4 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $24 · WR 86.1%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 57¢·30 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $17 · WR 86.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 66¢·22.8 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $15 · WR 79.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 70¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $14 · WR 71.9%
L
Late-Squirrel-Mecca
Entry 70¢·18 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $13 · WR 72.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 72¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $7 · WR 89.0%
Showing top 10 of 13
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 575ms