Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 35%-40%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$5.6K
200 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 90 traders · 1 on both sides
NJ-04 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $44.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs11 NO
15%85%
85% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $31 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $30·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$31
Avg Win Rate
71.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$28(-91.2%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$551
Avg Win Rate
82.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$23(-4.1%)
Whales
11
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 88¢·225.5 shares
Invested
$198
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $198 · WR 87.4%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 87¢·135 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $117 · WR 89.0%
A
Analyse24ResultsBefore🥉
Entry 373¢·28.1 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-77
$-77INV $105 · WR 62.2%
L
Lucerys
Entry 88¢·40 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $35 · WR 87.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 95¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $29 · WR 87.5%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 88¢·31.4 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $28 · WR 86.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 92¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $18 · WR 71.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 80¢·11 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $9 · WR 86.0%
P
plainfolder
Entry 86¢·8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 86.1%
I
itset5544
Entry 87¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 71.4%
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