Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 25%-30%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$6.9K
230 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 107 traders
NJ-04 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $44.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs12 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $45 is directional: YES $44·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$128
Avg Win Rate
65.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$122(-95.7%)
Whales
4
A
Analyse24ResultsBefore🥇
Entry 67¢·123.5 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-82
$-82INV $83 · WR 62.2%
S
sweetj🥈
Entry 19¢·210 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $41 · WR 72.2%
M
mantou11🥉
Entry 7¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 56.1%
R
RayGuy
Entry 9¢·8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$443
Avg Win Rate
82.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$180(+40.6%)
Whales
12
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 71¢·210 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $150 · WR 71.9%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 70¢·139.8 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $98 · WR 87.4%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 70¢·135 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $95 · WR 87.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 87¢·30 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $26 · WR 88.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 78¢·31.4 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $25 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys
Entry 44¢·40 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $17 · WR 87.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 67¢·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $13 · WR 88.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 83¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 79.2%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 81¢·8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $6 · WR 86.5%
I
itset5544
Entry 68¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 71.4%
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