Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 30%-35%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$5.3K
148 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 81 traders · 1 on both sides
NJ-04 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $44.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs12 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $32 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $30·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$38
Avg Win Rate
69.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$35(-92.3%)
Whales
3
S
sweetj🥇
Entry 13¢·209 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $27 · WR 72.2%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥈hedged
Entry 30¢·25 shares·also $93 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 62.1%
R
RayGuy🥉hedged
Entry 9¢·37 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 57.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$654
Avg Win Rate
79.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$169(+25.8%)
Whales
12
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 80¢·225.5 shares
Invested
$179
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $179 · WR 87.4%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 79¢·189.7 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $150 · WR 71.9%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 80¢·154 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $123 · WR 86.0%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistencyhedged
Entry 69¢·134.5 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$93
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $93 · WR 62.1%
L
Lucerys
Entry 84¢·40 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $33 · WR 87.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 83¢·31.4 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $26 · WR 86.1%
C
Conscious-Gaffer-Tortoise
Entry 92¢·18 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $17 · WR 81.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 89¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $11 · WR 79.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 89¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 86.1%
S
Shiny-Pension-Omission
Entry 78¢·9 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $7 · WR 82.0%
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