Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 5%-10%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$1.5K
65 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 41 traders
MO-04 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $28.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs13 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$433
Avg Win Rate
85.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$341(+78.7%)
Whales
13
G
godblessme2026🥇
Entry 50¢·270 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$134
+$134INV $135 · WR 88.2%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 54¢·142 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$65
+$65INV $76 · WR 88.0%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 61¢·81.7 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $50 · WR 79.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $40 · WR 88.7%
C
C.PM
Entry 99¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $30 · WR 85.8%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $25 · WR 86.2%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $20 · WR 86.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 93¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 72.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 100¢·15.3 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 87.7%
A
All-Decrease-Harvest
Entry 50¢·27 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
81.1%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $14 · WR 81.1%
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