Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
34¢
34% implied
NO Price
66¢
66% implied
Volume
$4.0K
186 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 63 traders
MO-04 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $28.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs12 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$9+2 new NO$44
$18 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$489
Avg Win Rate
84.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$102(+20.9%)
Whales
12
N
northdrawer🥇
Entry 50¢·270 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $135 · WR 87.7%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 53¢·142 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $75 · WR 88.0%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 50¢·120 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $60 · WR 72.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 61¢·93.8 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $58 · WR 79.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 66¢·80 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $53 · WR 86.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 88¢·30.7 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $27 · WR 88.9%
C
C.PM
Entry 50¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $25 · WR 85.8%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $20 · WR 86.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 90¢·15.3 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $14 · WR 87.7%
N
Negative-Bob-Vitro
Entry 50¢·27 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
81.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $14 · WR 81.4%
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