Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 25%-30%?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

47¢

47% implied

NO Price

53¢

53% implied

Volume

$3.6K

154 trades

Smart Whales

of 68 traders

MO-04 House Election Margin of Victory

8 MARKETS · $28.4K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election

9¢0¢$1.9K1/10

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election0¢9¢

$1.9K1/10

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs12 NO

14%86%

86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 58%· net of hedges

+3 new YES$36+3 new NO$49

$4 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum

1 smart whale0 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $20 is directional: YES $20·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

$71

Avg Win Rate

69.1%

Aggregate P&L

-$16(-22.1%)

Whales

sweetj🥇hedged

Entry 85¢·60 shares·also $2 on NO

$-23INV $51 · WR 74.4%

thanksforplayin🥈

Entry 35¢·57.7 shares

+$7INV $20 · WR 55.6%

NO Team

Total Invested

$474

Avg Win Rate

84.7%

Aggregate P&L

-$16(-3.4%)

Whales

$-16INV $160 · WR 86.2%

Lucerys🥈

Entry 57¢·128.5 shares

$-5INV $74 · WR 88.0%

balthazar🥉

Entry 50¢·116.4 shares

+$4INV $58 · WR 72.1%

smallreceipt

Entry 50¢·80.7 shares

+$3INV $40 · WR 88.9%

$-12INV $39 · WR 88.2%

e46m3

Entry 67¢·49.5 shares

$-7INV $33 · WR 79.6%

$-9INV $25 · WR 87.7%

+$1INV $20 · WR 86.2%

donthackme

Entry 83¢·15.3 shares

$-5INV $13 · WR 87.7%

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