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Politics

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-08 House election by 10%-15%?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
97¢
97% implied
NO Price
3¢
3% implied
Volume
$6.6K
231 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 99 traders

MI-08 House Election Margin of Victory

8 MARKETS · $25.6K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

10 YESvs4 NO
71%29%
71% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 99%
+1 new YES$247+3 new NO$4
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $670 is directional: YES $670·NO $0
YES Team
Total Invested
$670
Avg Win Rate
64.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$276(+41.2%)
Whales
10
P
probabilityProven🥇
Entry 99¢·250 shares
$-5INV $248 · WR 61.2%
L
longliveapplesProven🥈
Entry 89¢·165.8 shares
+$13INV $148 · WR 61.2%
R
RayGuy🥉
Entry 54¢·217.9 shares
+$93INV $118 · WR 56.1%
T
TrangNgo
Entry 98¢·83.7 shares
$-1INV $82 · WR 92.0%
F
fkpa
Entry 23¢·199.1 shares
+$147INV $46 · WR 61.8%
L
liverpoolfcProven
Entry 93¢·20 shares
+$1INV $19 · WR 81.5%
S
sweetj
Entry 24¢·25 shares
+$18INV $6 · WR 71.6%
T
thanksforplayin
Entry 36¢·9 shares
+$5INV $3 · WR 56.0%
L
Lucerys
Entry 10¢·4 shares
+$4INV $0 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 9¢·0.5 shares
+$0INV $0 · WR 71.9%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 71% YES: the Democratic Party candidate win…