Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-08 House election by 30% or more?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$1.6K
51 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 48 traders
MI-08 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $25.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs7 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 65% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+3 new YES$1+1 new NO$126
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $19 is directional: YES $12·NO $7YES Team
Total Invested
$12
Avg Win Rate
59.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$11(-89.6%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$289
Avg Win Rate
70.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$7(+2.4%)
Whales
7
P
probability◆Proven🥇
Entry 100¢·126.7 shares
Invested
$126
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $126 · WR 61.2%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 99¢·52.2 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
—
—INV $52 · WR 79.2%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 99¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
—
—INV $40 · WR 87.9%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency
Entry 90¢·41 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $37 · WR 66.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 99¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
—
—INV $20 · WR 71.9%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 99¢·8.8 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 86.1%
E
Esteemed-Conduct
Entry 66¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $7 · WR 65.6%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 683ms