Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-08 House election by 15%-20%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$7.3K
238 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 88 traders
MI-08 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $25.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs5 NO
55%46%
55% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+2 new YES$0+1 new NO$51
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $63 is directional: YES $63·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$63
Avg Win Rate
63.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$57(-90.9%)
Whales
6
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥇
Entry 29¢·96 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $28 · WR 66.9%
F
fkpa🥈
Entry 27¢·60.8 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $16 · WR 61.8%
T
thanksforplayin🥉
Entry 33¢·20 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $7 · WR 56.0%
R
RayGuy
Entry 10¢·61 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $6 · WR 56.1%
S
sweetj
Entry 23¢·25 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $6 · WR 71.6%
D
0xd4eb89f8...
Entry 26¢·4.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 60.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$217
Avg Win Rate
80.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$53(+24.2%)
Whales
5
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 75¢·154 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $115 · WR 87.7%
P
probability◆Proven🥈
Entry 100¢·51 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $51 · WR 61.2%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 74¢·40 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $30 · WR 86.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 75¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $15 · WR 71.9%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 77¢·8.8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $7 · WR 86.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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