Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-08 House election by 0%-5%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$634
22 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 28 traders
MI-08 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $25.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs5 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+5 new YES$0+1 new NO$55
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $10 is directional: YES $10·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$10
Avg Win Rate
57.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$10(-92.0%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$124
Avg Win Rate
73.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$40(+32.5%)
Whales
5
P
probability◆Proven🥇
Entry 100¢·55 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $55 · WR 61.2%
S
smallreceipt🥈
Entry 99¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $40 · WR 88.6%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 99¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 71.9%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 99¢·8.8 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 86.1%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency
Entry 1¢·41 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $0 · WR 66.9%
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