Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-08 House election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$5.4K
253 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 90 traders
MI-08 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $25.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs6 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+4 new YES$0+1 new NO$110
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $75 is directional: YES $73·NO $2YES Team
Total Invested
$73
Avg Win Rate
64.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$71(-97.6%)
Whales
4
F
fkpa🥇
Entry 22¢·216.4 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $47 · WR 61.8%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥈
Entry 19¢·110.6 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $21 · WR 66.9%
S
sweetj🥉
Entry 17¢·25 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 71.6%
L
Lucerys
Entry 10¢·4 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 87.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$169
Avg Win Rate
67.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$19(+11.3%)
Whales
6
P
probability◆Proven🥇
Entry 100¢·110 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $110 · WR 61.2%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 71¢·40 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $28 · WR 88.5%
M
melchior1248🥉
Entry 71¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $14 · WR 70.1%
H
hgjuykfg
Entry 100¢·8 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $8 · WR 67.7%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 73¢·8.8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $6 · WR 86.1%
R
RayGuy
Entry 96¢·1.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 56.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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