Esteemed-Conduct · Polymarket wallet 0x6bb9…f64a

Wallet snapshot

Esteemed-Conduct has made 422 trades on Polymarket across 140 markets, $2,022 in volume. Most of it is in politics (49%). On 40 resolved markets the win rate is 55%, lifetime P&L +$87. It holds 82 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 75% or more?". Last trade: Oct 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 75% or more?No · $20 · 67¢ → 99¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 30% or more?No · $19 · 68¢ → 96¢
• Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be 1,700,000 or more?No · $18 · 68¢ → 91¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 40% or more?No · $18 · 66¢ → 99¢
• Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms?Yes · $16 · 76¢ → 78¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 12% or more?No · $12 · 72¢ → 87¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 55% or more?No · $10 · 75¢ → 100¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 35% or more?No · $10 · 77¢ → 100¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 35% or more?No · $10 · 71¢ → 99¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 35% or more?No · $10 · 76¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Attorney General election?No · +$1 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more?Yes · +$1 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election?Yes · $0 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?Yes · +$0 · Oct 5, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.