Politics1 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 21% or more?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$855
59 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 31 traders · 1 on both sides
AZ-08 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $20.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs6 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 11% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $18 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $2·NO $14YES Team
Total Invested
$3
Avg Win Rate
70.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-0.7%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$96
Avg Win Rate
81.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$35(+36.2%)
Whales
6
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 73¢·35.2 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $26 · WR 88.0%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 96¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $19 · WR 89.2%
T
Thorny-Parachute-Philanthropy🥉
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $18 · WR 86.0%
M
mariacryptosshedged
Entry 76¢·20 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$15
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $15 · WR 64.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 99¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $13 · WR 79.6%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 66.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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