Politics19 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 6%-9%?
YES Price
25¢
25% implied
NO Price
75¢
75% implied
Volume
$1.2K
95 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 41 traders
AZ-08 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $11.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs7 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 48% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $13 is directional: YES $6·NO $7YES Team
Total Invested
$19
Avg Win Rate
60.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$9(-47.2%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$76
Avg Win Rate
79.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$12(+15.7%)
Whales
7
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 58¢·40.4 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $24 · WR 79.6%
N
Negative-Bob-Vitro🥈
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $18 · WR 80.1%
H
haveagoodday🥉
Entry 70¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $14 · WR 86.6%
M
Majas
Entry 472¢·1.9 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $9 · WR 66.5%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 66.8%
A
alphapres
Entry 73¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 100.0%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 71¢·4.6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 68.9%
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