Politics19 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 21% or more?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$612
52 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 27 traders · 1 on both sides
AZ-08 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $11.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs4 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 11% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $18 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $2·NO $14YES Team
Total Invested
$3
Avg Win Rate
70.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+24.3%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$57
Avg Win Rate
79.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$24(+42.0%)
Whales
4
G
graynotebook19🥇
Entry 96¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $19 · WR 89.3%
T
Thorny-Parachute-Philanthropy🥈
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $18 · WR 85.3%
M
mariacryptoss🥉hedged
Entry 76¢·20 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$15
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $15 · WR 63.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 66.8%
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