YES Price
56¢
56% implied
NO Price
44¢
44% implied
Volume
$61.4K
2,237 trades
Smart Whales
90
of 332 traders · 2 on both sides
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
5 MARKETS · $163.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting
0¢+21¢$23.0K8/30Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting+21¢0¢
$23.0K8/30
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting
46¢−14¢$47.5K23/50Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting−14¢46¢
$47.5K23/50
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting
0¢+59¢$7.2K17/12Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting+59¢0¢
$7.2K17/12
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
31 YESvs61 NO
34%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 18 YES vs 12 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 56%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$284+17 new NO$358
$62 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$52 of $12.8K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $12.2K·NO $631YES Team
Total Invested
$13.8K
Avg Win Rate
61.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.0K(-21.4%)
Whales
31
F
firegold🥇
Entry 77¢·6,749.4 shares
Invested
$5.2K
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-1462
$-1462INV $5.2K · WR 60.1%
P
podairpod🥈
Entry 80¢·5,252 shares
Invested
$4.2K
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-1322
$-1322INV $4.2K · WR 60.3%
6
6idontknow123451334🥉
Entry 46¢·1,891.7 shares
Invested
$863
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
+$187
+$187INV $863 · WR 61.9%
D
Drunken-Mentat
Entry 50¢·1,330 shares
Invested
$670
Win Rate
75.3%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $670 · WR 75.3%
V
vino1234hedged
Entry 60¢·859.1 shares·also $574 on NO
Invested
$513
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $513 · WR 62.1%
N
nicholasflamel
Entry 56¢·913.9 shares
Invested
$511
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $511 · WR 59.6%
P
Pepe1234567
Entry 90¢·556.7 shares
Invested
$503
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
$-196
$-196INV $503 · WR 64.6%
S
StarMaster
Entry 65¢·500 shares
Invested
$323
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $323 · WR 55.0%
G
Gummy-Casserole
Entry 90¢·260 shares
Invested
$233
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $233 · WR 74.4%
C
charlatta
Entry 86¢·150 shares
Invested
$129
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
$-47
$-47INV $129 · WR 87.3%
Showing top 10 of 31
NO Team
Total Invested
$9.6K
Avg Win Rate
78.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$17(-0.2%)
Whales
61
J
JustClickeverywhere🥇
Entry 43¢·3,211 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $1.4K · WR 78.6%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 46¢·1,675.8 shares
Invested
$765
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $765 · WR 88.7%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 48¢·1,597.7 shares
Invested
$763
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-52
$-52INV $763 · WR 85.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 47¢·1,575.1 shares
Invested
$737
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $737 · WR 79.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 48¢·1,396.5 shares
Invested
$676
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $676 · WR 87.5%
V
vino1234hedged
Entry 80¢·719.5 shares·also $513 on YES
Invested
$574
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-253
$-253INV $574 · WR 62.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 37¢·814.1 shares
Invested
$305
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$57
+$57INV $305 · WR 71.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 35¢·635.3 shares
Invested
$222
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $222 · WR 89.1%
J
Jest55
Entry 34¢·495.3 shares
Invested
$167
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $167 · WR 83.4%
S
Started-with-20-USD
Entry 52¢·289.4 shares
Invested
$149
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $149 · WR 58.8%
Showing top 10 of 61
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