Economics21 days left
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$24.4K
523 trades
Smart Whales
49
of 92 traders
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
5 MARKETS · $507.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting←
0¢+43¢$24.4K21/28Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting←+43¢0¢
$24.4K21/28
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting
11¢+16¢$165.5K27/74Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting+16¢11¢
$165.5K27/74
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting
0¢+61¢$13.7K25/16Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting+61¢0¢
$13.7K25/16
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
21 YESvs28 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 21 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6.0K is directional: YES $6.0K·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$6.0K
Avg Win Rate
82.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$6.0K(-99.7%)
Whales
21
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 20¢·11,731.6 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-2340
$-2340INV $2.3K · WR 87.6%
B
Bigggggggg🥈
Entry 14¢·10,528 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-1503
$-1503INV $1.5K · WR 85.7%
C
Classic-Loggia🥉
Entry 20¢·4,524.4 shares
Invested
$905
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-903
$-903INV $905 · WR 59.5%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 20¢·3,290 shares
Invested
$658
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-656
$-656INV $658 · WR 85.9%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 20¢·956.3 shares
Invested
$191
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-191
$-191INV $191 · WR 88.1%
M
merod
Entry 20¢·648.6 shares
Invested
$130
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
$-129
$-129INV $130 · WR 83.9%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 20¢·311.3 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
$-62
$-62INV $62 · WR 84.4%
V
vamosgaming
Entry 20¢·292.6 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
$-58
$-58INV $59 · WR 80.6%
N
neverhackme
Entry 20¢·202.3 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $40 · WR 75.9%
T
Tysha
Entry 20¢·160 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $32 · WR 89.3%
Showing top 10 of 21
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.0K
Avg Win Rate
82.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$8.0K(+159.9%)
Whales
28
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 50¢·1,737 shares
Invested
$868
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$868
+$868INV $868 · WR 79.5%
G
gmgmgmgmg🥈
Entry 50¢·1,141.4 shares
Invested
$571
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$570
+$570INV $571 · WR 79.1%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 50¢·1,010.1 shares
Invested
$507
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$502
+$502INV $507 · WR 87.7%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 52¢·926.8 shares
Invested
$482
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$444
+$444INV $482 · WR 88.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 48¢·950 shares
Invested
$455
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$494
+$494INV $455 · WR 88.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 55¢·734.5 shares
Invested
$403
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$331
+$331INV $403 · WR 79.6%
K
korda77
Entry 24¢·1,546 shares
Invested
$375
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$1170
+$1170INV $375 · WR 85.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·391.2 shares
Invested
$195
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$196
+$196INV $195 · WR 89.0%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 50¢·283.6 shares
Invested
$142
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$142
+$142INV $142 · WR 59.7%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 50¢·277.3 shares
Invested
$139
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$139
+$139INV $139 · WR 59.8%
Showing top 10 of 28
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