Economics22 days left
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$13.7K
377 trades
Smart Whales
41
of 75 traders
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
5 MARKETS · $487.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting
0¢+40¢$24.4K19/29Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting+40¢0¢
$24.4K19/29
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting
8¢+20¢$151.8K26/68Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting+20¢8¢
$151.8K26/68
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting←
0¢+55¢$13.7K22/18Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting←+55¢0¢
$13.7K22/18
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
25 YESvs16 NO
61%39%
61% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 25 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $8.2K is directional: YES $8.2K·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$8.2K
Avg Win Rate
81.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$8.2K(-99.7%)
Whales
25
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 20¢·12,289.9 shares
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-2452
$-2452INV $2.5K · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 20¢·10,004.8 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-1996
$-1996INV $2.0K · WR 79.6%
B
Bigggggggg🥉
Entry 13¢·9,152.6 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-1212
$-1212INV $1.2K · WR 85.7%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 20¢·5,067 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-1011
$-1011INV $1.0K · WR 59.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 20¢·3,270 shares
Invested
$654
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-652
$-652INV $654 · WR 85.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 20¢·1,667.4 shares
Invested
$333
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-333
$-333INV $333 · WR 86.0%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 20¢·825.4 shares
Invested
$165
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-165
$-165INV $165 · WR 88.1%
M
merod
Entry 20¢·671.6 shares
Invested
$134
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
$-134
$-134INV $134 · WR 83.9%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 20¢·326.3 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
$-65
$-65INV $65 · WR 84.5%
V
vamosgaming
Entry 20¢·292.6 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
$-58
$-58INV $59 · WR 80.8%
Showing top 10 of 25
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
84.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.7K(+106.5%)
Whales
16
G
gmgmgmgmg🥇
Entry 50¢·844.4 shares
Invested
$422
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$422
+$422INV $422 · WR 79.2%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 54¢·626 shares
Invested
$338
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$288
+$288INV $338 · WR 87.6%
K
korda77🥉
Entry 50¢·540 shares
Invested
$270
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$270
+$270INV $270 · WR 85.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 83¢·174.5 shares
Invested
$144
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $144 · WR 79.6%
F
Flimsy-Handle
Entry 50¢·270 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$135
+$135INV $135 · WR 83.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 52¢·220 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$105
+$105INV $115 · WR 88.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·220 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$110
+$110INV $110 · WR 89.3%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $40 · WR 89.0%
C
CrackedTrader
Entry 2¢·239.6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$236
+$236INV $4 · WR 71.4%
R
RinaK33
Entry 0¢·91 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
+$91
+$91INV $0 · WR 74.9%
Showing top 10 of 16
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