Economics22 days left
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$83.8K
1,542 trades
Smart Whales
56
of 149 traders
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
5 MARKETS · $487.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting
0¢+40¢$24.4K19/29Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting+40¢0¢
$24.4K19/29
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting
8¢+20¢$151.8K26/68Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting+20¢8¢
$151.8K26/68
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting
0¢+55¢$13.7K22/18Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting+55¢0¢
$13.7K22/18
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
13 YESvs43 NO
23%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+1 new YES$0+1 new NO$82
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.1K is directional: YES $1.1K·NO $22YES Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
86.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.1K(-99.7%)
Whales
13
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 20¢·4,133 shares
Invested
$827
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-825
$-825INV $827 · WR 87.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 20¢·630 shares
Invested
$126
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-126
$-126INV $126 · WR 85.9%
N
neverhackme🥉
Entry 20¢·202.3 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $40 · WR 75.9%
T
Tysha
Entry 20¢·160 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $32 · WR 89.3%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 20¢·90 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $18 · WR 88.1%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 16¢·98.2 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $16 · WR 88.2%
Y
yesasdgfaskdfhask◆Proven
Entry 1¢·1,879 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $14 · WR 55.4%
V
vamosgaming
Entry 20¢·50 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 80.8%
T
Tee1000
Entry 6¢·122.1 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 81.8%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven
Entry 6¢·87.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 85.7%
Showing top 10 of 13
NO Team
Total Invested
$21.7K
Avg Win Rate
79.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$37.1K(+171.1%)
Whales
43
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 50¢·10,997.1 shares
Invested
$5.5K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$5488
+$5488INV $5.5K · WR 79.6%
G
gmgmgmgmg🥈
Entry 50¢·5,840.8 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$2917
+$2917INV $2.9K · WR 79.2%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 51¢·2,380.8 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$1165
+$1165INV $1.2K · WR 88.7%
K
korda77
Entry 50¢·2,123.3 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$1067
+$1067INV $1.1K · WR 85.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·1,938.4 shares
Invested
$968
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$969
+$969INV $968 · WR 89.3%
B
balthazar
Entry 10¢·9,050.3 shares
Invested
$935
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$8111
+$8111INV $935 · WR 72.2%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 50¢·1,564.1 shares
Invested
$783
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$781
+$781INV $783 · WR 59.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·1,518.8 shares
Invested
$757
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$761
+$761INV $757 · WR 86.0%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 50¢·1,444.8 shares
Invested
$728
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$717
+$717INV $728 · WR 59.5%
M
merod
Entry 50¢·1,278.2 shares
Invested
$639
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$638
+$638INV $639 · WR 83.9%
Showing top 10 of 43
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