47 days left
Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?
YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$2.4K
139 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 64 traders · 1 on both sides
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?
4 MARKETS · $15.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote
40¢+15¢$3.2K6/5Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote+15¢40¢
$3.2K6/5
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote
28¢+15¢$8.0K3/4Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote+15¢28¢
$8.0K3/4
Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote←
13¢+12¢$2.4K2/6Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote←+12¢13¢
$2.4K2/6
Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote
57¢+3¢$1.6K3/2Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote+3¢57¢
$1.6K3/2
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Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs6 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 65%
+3 new YES$28+2 new NO$50
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 68% of the money is not a bet
$749 of $1.1K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $17·NO $341YES Team
Total Invested
$391
Avg Win Rate
63.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$304(-77.7%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$720
Avg Win Rate
62.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$370(+51.4%)
Whales
6
G
gengui🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·874.5 shares·also $374 on YES
Invested
$437
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$341
+$341INV $437 · WR 62.5%
N
Noegger🥈
Entry 84¢·216.7 shares
Invested
$181
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $181 · WR 62.3%
I
IXso🥉
Entry 73¢·60 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $44 · WR 59.4%
C
Cbs710
Entry 78¢·49 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $38 · WR 75.0%
V
Vengeful-Hobbit
Entry 83¢·18.3 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $15 · WR 58.3%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 70¢·6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 68.9%
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