47 days left
Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?
YES Price
57¢
57% implied
NO Price
43¢
43% implied
Volume
$1.6K
85 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 41 traders
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?
4 MARKETS · $15.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote
40¢+15¢$3.2K6/5Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote+15¢40¢
$3.2K6/5
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote
28¢+15¢$8.0K3/4Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote+15¢28¢
$8.0K3/4
Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote
13¢+12¢$2.4K2/6Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote+12¢13¢
$2.4K2/6
Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote←
57¢+3¢$1.6K3/2Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote←+3¢57¢
$1.6K3/2
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Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs2 NO
60%40%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 65% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 55%
+2 new YES$83+2 new NO$69
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $81 is directional: YES $53·NO $29YES Team
Total Invested
$53
Avg Win Rate
64.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$11(+21.6%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$29
Avg Win Rate
66.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-4.5%)
Whales
2
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