GeopoliticsResolved

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

0¢

0% implied

NO Price

100¢

100% implied

Volume

$75.0K

668 trades

Smart Whales

37

of 230 traders

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

5 MARKETS · $332.8K MATCHED

Smart Money

by April 30, 2026←

0¢+19¢$75.0K7/30

by April 30, 2026←+19¢0¢

by December 31, 2026

3¢+48¢$252.4K48/47

by December 31, 2026+48¢3¢

by December 31, 2027

34¢+66¢$1.2K1/0

by December 31, 2027+66¢34¢

by March 31, 2027

20¢−20¢$1.2K0/5

by March 31, 2027−20¢20¢

by June 30, 2027

32¢+1¢$3.0K1/2

by June 30, 2027+1¢32¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

7 YESvs30 NO

19%81%

81% of smart money holding this market is on NO

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

YES Team

Total Invested

$40

Avg Win Rate

77.4%

Aggregate P&L

-$19(-46.8%)

Whales

7

Entry 38¢·30.8 shares

$-12INV $12 · WR 88.3%

ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈hedged

Entry 1¢·343.1 shares·also $279 on NO

$-3INV $3 · WR 57.7%

Entry 5¢·50 shares

$-3INV $3 · WR 63.2%

LetTheGoodTimesRoll

Entry 4¢·30.1 shares

$-1INV $1 · WR 56.8%

Showing top 4 of 7

NO Team

Total Invested

$20.8K

Avg Win Rate

67.7%

Aggregate P&L

+$7.8K(+37.7%)

Whales

30

CaptainCoinflip🥇

Entry 98¢·9,891.1 shares

+$206INV $9.7K · WR 61.6%

denizzProven🥈

Entry 54¢·8,063 shares

+$3703INV $4.4K · WR 68.6%

ZIONISTSAREGHEY🥉

Entry 100¢·1,677.3 shares

+$8INV $1.7K · WR 79.8%

Entry 69¢·2,227.2 shares

+$685INV $1.5K · WR 78.9%

Entry 94¢·870 shares

+$48INV $822 · WR 65.1%

Entry 100¢·520.1 shares

+$2INV $518 · WR 88.4%

Entry 62¢·828.6 shares

+$312INV $517 · WR 89.2%

Entry 96¢·427.4 shares

+$17INV $411 · WR 62.6%

PMTraderAdamProven

Entry 59¢·496.5 shares

+$203INV $293 · WR 79.5%

ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged

Entry 81¢·343.1 shares·also $3 on YES

+$64INV $279 · WR 57.7%

Showing top 10 of 30

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...

Loaded in 758ms