Geopolitics446 days left

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2027?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

33¢

33% implied

NO Price

67¢

67% implied

Volume

$1.2K

69 trades

Smart Whales

of 28 traders

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

4 MARKETS · $257.6K MATCHED

Smart Money

by December 31, 2026

3¢+48¢$252.4K48/47

by December 31, 2026+48¢3¢

$252.4K48/47

by December 31, 2027←

33¢+67¢$1.2K1/0

by December 31, 2027←+67¢33¢

$1.2K1/0

by March 31, 2027

20¢−20¢$1.2K0/5

by March 31, 2027−20¢20¢

$1.2K0/5

by June 30, 2027

25¢+8¢$2.9K1/2

by June 30, 2027+8¢25¢

$2.9K1/2

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Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs0 NO

100%

100% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $18 is directional: YES $18·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

$18

Avg Win Rate

62.9%

Aggregate P&L

+$13(+70.4%)

Whales

QR1🥇

Entry 20¢·90.2 shares

+$13INV $18 · WR 62.9%

NO Team

Total Invested

Avg Win Rate

unknown

Aggregate P&L

—

Whales

No smart whales on NO

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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